As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is $5.00-$5.50T at 22%, followed by $4.00-$4.50T at 21% and $4.50-$5.00T at 16%.
$5.50-$6.00T moved the most this week: 19% to 6% (−13.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5.00-$5.50T | 22% | +3.0 pts | −3.0 pts | $5k |
| $4.00-$4.50T | 21% | −0.4 pts | +12.7 pts | $1k |
| $4.50-$5.00T | 16% | −5.0 pts | −5.5 pts | $4k |
| <$4.00T | 14% | −3.2 pts | +9.4 pts | $3k |
| $5.50-$6.00T | 6% | +0.5 pts | −13.5 pts | $4k |
A price of 22% means traders pay about $0.22 for a “$5.00-$5.50T” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $5.50-$6.00T · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | <$4.00T · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $4.50-$5.00T · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $4.00-$4.50T · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $5.00-$5.50T · No | $1k | – |
| HDGB | $5.50-$6.00T · No | $918 | +$164 |
| evoi9 | $5.50-$6.00T · No | $814 | +$153 |
| HDGB | $5.00-$5.50T · No | $687 | +$87 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.