As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 90% chance for “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”, up from 82% a week ago.
It moved +1.5 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 83% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 90% | +1.5 pts | +8.0 pts | $28k |
A price of 90% means traders pay about $0.90 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| denizz | Yes | $25k | +$6k |
| nonkenny90 | Yes | $19k | +$2k |
| justme003 | Yes | $19k | +$4k |
| SirHarryOakes | Yes | $16k | +$539 |
| Valen9 | Yes | $7k | +$2k |
| SwissMiss | Yes | $6k | +$3k |
| MissaoComFlavio | Yes | $5k | +$273 |
| air3 | Yes | $4k | +$2k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.