The favourite on Polymarket is November 14 at 86%, followed by November 12 at 57% and November 11 at 34%.
November 9 moved the most this week: 48% to 2% (−45.3 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 14 | 86% | +20.0 pts | −6.0 pts | $23k |
| November 12 | 57% | +23.5 pts | +9.5 pts | $35k |
| November 11 | 34% | +16.0 pts | +16.0 pts | $16k |
| November 10 | 16% | +1.0 pts | −31.0 pts | $70k |
| November 9 | 2% | −2.3 pts | −45.3 pts | $17k |
A price of 16% means traders pay $0.17 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boned | November 12 · No | $2k | −$888 |
| Rex416 | November 12 · Yes | $2k | −$381 |
| G.Hchen | November 14 · Yes | $1k | +$133 |
| Rex416 | November 14 · Yes | $989 | −$61 |
| DerDon | November 12 · Yes | $970 | +$229 |
| SHUTYOURMOUSE | November 11 · No | $754 | +$855 |
| pleasewinthis | November 12 · No | $739 | −$194 |
| 328.400.fund | November 11 · Yes | $624 | +$84 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.