As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 2% chance for “Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026”, down from 3% a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 3% 30 days ago.
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| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 0.0 pts | −1.4 pts | $19k |
A price of 2% means traders pay about $0.02 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
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| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max3 | No | $20k | +$616 |
| Dropper | No | $10k | +$815 |
| Avamax | No | $9k | +$234 |
| QMG-CORE | No | $8k | +$399 |
| elmcap2 | No | $7k | +$201 |
| GoriIIa | No | $6k | +$240 |
| BlondBeast | No | $5k | +$334 |
| MrNoItAll | No | $4k | +$213 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.