As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is -0.8%–0.0% at 32%, followed by 0.0%–0.8% at 30% and 0.8%–1.6% at 29%.
-0.8%–0.0% moved the most this week: 11% to 32% (+21.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.8%–0.0% | 32% | +13.5 pts | +21.5 pts | $410 |
| 0.0%–0.8% | 30% | +3.3 pts | +0.3 pts | $10k |
| 0.8%–1.6% | 29% | +4.4 pts | −1.3 pts | $655 |
| 1.6%–2.4% | 2% | −4.2 pts | −7.6 pts | $431 |
| 2.4%–3.2% | 1% | −2.3 pts | −2.5 pts | $624 |
A price of 32% means traders pay about $0.32 for a “-0.8%–0.0%” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 2.4%–3.2% · No | $747 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 1.6%–2.4% · No | $739 | – |
| z13cc | 2.4%–3.2% · No | $597 | −$3 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 0.8%–1.6% · No | $534 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 0.0%–0.8% · No | $526 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | -0.8%–0.0% · No | $509 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.