As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 1-3 at 97%, followed by 4-6 at 2%.
No outcome moved more than 2 points over the past week.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | 97% | +0.4 pts | −1.6 pts | $0 |
| 4-6 | 2% | −0.8 pts | 0.0 pts | $0 |
A price of 97% means traders pay about $0.97 for a “1-3” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 4-6 · No | $8k | – |
| rabbit007 | 1-3 · Yes | $4k | +$3k |
| BeefSlayer | 1-3 · Yes | $2k | +$470 |
| HondaCivic | 1-3 · Yes | $571 | +$154 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.