As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 28°C at 95%, followed by 29°C at 2%.
28°C moved the most this week: 23% to 95% (+72.4 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28°C | 95% | +91.4 pts | +72.4 pts | $6k |
| 29°C | 2% | +2.0 pts | −12.1 pts | $2k |
A price of 95% means traders pay about $0.95 for a “28°C” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 29°C · No | $1k | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.