As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 0 at 73%, followed by 1 at 11% and 2 at 9%.
0 moved the most this week: 66% to 73% (+7.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 73% | +3.5 pts | +7.5 pts | $3k |
| 1 | 11% | −0.4 pts | −0.2 pts | $0 |
| 2 | 9% | −0.2 pts | −6.0 pts | $0 |
| 4+ | 3% | −1.0 pts | −0.6 pts | $0 |
| 3 | 2% | −2.0 pts | −4.5 pts | $0 |
A price of 73% means traders pay about $0.73 for a “0” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5ecd…0787 | 4+ · No | $2k | +$378 |
| chunqiu | 0 · Yes | $2k | +$212 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 3 · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 4+ · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 2 · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 1 · No | $1k | – |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | 0 · Yes | $735 | +$530 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.