As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 16% chance for “Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by December 31, 2026”, down from 18% a week ago.
It moved −1.0 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 26% 30 days ago.
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| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 16% | −1.0 pts | −1.5 pts | $2k |
A price of 16% means traders pay about $0.16 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Isekai | No | $1k | −$37 |
| LJa7io23MCv954j | No | $504 | −$4 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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