As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 17°C at 80%, followed by 18°C at 17% and 19°C at 4%.
17°C moved the most this week: 36% to 80% (+44.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17°C | 80% | +44.0 pts | +44.0 pts | $4k |
| 18°C | 17% | +13.8 pts | +6.7 pts | $1k |
| 19°C | 4% | +2.6 pts | −1.0 pts | $933 |
A price of 80% means traders pay about $0.80 for a “17°C” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.