As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 17°C at 96%, followed by 18°C at 3%.
17°C moved the most this week: 47% to 96% (+48.8 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17°C | 96% | +55.8 pts | +48.8 pts | $11k |
| 18°C | 3% | −5.0 pts | −17.5 pts | $6k |
A price of 96% means traders pay about $0.96 for a “17°C” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 18°C · No | $2k | – |
| tradetosurvive1 | 17°C · Yes | $1k | +$673 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.