As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 2% chance for “Hantavirus pandemic in 2026”, unchanged from a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 2% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 0.0 pts | −0.4 pts | $32k |
A price of 2% means traders pay about $0.02 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clicker1 | No | $98k | +$8k |
| 0x006c…16ea | No | $81k | +$6k |
| Erasmus. | No | $73k | +$6k |
| nelbal8486 | No | $69k | +$2k |
| fledger | No | $50k | +$954 |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | $49k | +$979 |
| ktv.bond | No | $47k | +$2k |
| bearbees2 | No | $38k | +$872 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.