As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Robinhood at 32%, followed by No listing by December 31, 2027 at 23% and Kraken at 17%.
Robinhood moved the most this week: 38% to 32% (−5.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robinhood | 32% | 0.0 pts | −5.5 pts | $883 |
| No listing by December 31, 2027 | 23% | −1.2 pts | +1.4 pts | $3k |
| Kraken | 17% | +4.0 pts | +1.6 pts | $2k |
| Coinbase | 17% | −0.4 pts | −3.6 pts | $1k |
| Gemini | 7% | −0.5 pts | −2.7 pts | $0 |
A price of 32% means traders pay about $0.32 for a “Robinhood” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Gemini · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Kraken · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Coinbase · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No listing by December 31, 2027 · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Robinhood · No | $2k | – |
| 0x5ecd…0787 | Kraken · No | $1k | +$388 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Coinbase · No | $633 | +$269 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Crypto · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.