As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 1.0-2.0% at 86%, followed by 0-1.0% at 13%.
1.0-2.0% moved the most this week: 59% to 86% (+27.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0-2.0% | 86% | +17.0 pts | +27.0 pts | $4k |
| 0-1.0% | 13% | −17.9 pts | −21.8 pts | $3k |
A price of 86% means traders pay about $0.86 for a “1.0-2.0%” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 0-1.0% · No | $3k | – |
| 0x8314…0b88 | 1.0-2.0% · Yes | $3k | +$843 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 1.0-2.0% · No | $557 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.