As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 2% chance for “Ebola pandemic in 2026”, unchanged from a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 2% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | −0.2 pts | −0.2 pts | $4k |
A price of 2% means traders pay about $0.02 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| ktv.bond | No | $28k | +$893 |
| pIebe | No | $8k | +$74 |
| Naropoly | No | $5k | +$202 |
| Alegrandebig | No | $4k | +$12 |
| kevin-airdrop | No | $3k | +$322 |
| 0xa2cd…2e8c | No | $2k | +$150 |
| Ajjooli | No | $1k | +$18 |
| schwarze777 | No | $1k | +$79 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.