As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 80-99 at 23%, followed by 60-79 at 12% and 140-159 at 9%.
200+ moved the most this week: 68% to 4% (−63.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-99 | 23% | +4.5 pts | +21.8 pts | $6k |
| 60-79 | 12% | +0.1 pts | +11.1 pts | $7k |
| 140-159 | 9% | −6.3 pts | +1.1 pts | $6k |
| 200+ | 4% | 0.0 pts | −63.0 pts | $15k |
| 160-179 | 3% | −4.3 pts | −9.3 pts | $7k |
A price of 23% means traders pay about $0.23 for a “80-99” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 160-179 · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 200+ · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 140-159 · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 60-79 · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 80-99 · No | $1k | – |
| 0x279c…2b82 | 200+ · No | $1k | +$17 |
| 0x279c…2b82 | 60-79 · No | $1k | −$48 |
| 0x2cad…c773 | 80-99 · No | $642 | −$188 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Politics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.