Traders on Polymarket see a 20% chance for “Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026”, down 18.5 points over the past week.
Over the past week the chance moved from 38% to 20% (−18.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20% | −8.5 pts | −18.5 pts | $164k |
A price of 20% means traders pay $0.20 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4ed6…242c | Yes | $1k | −$1k |
| CaballoParaguallo | Yes | $1k | −$531 |
| pIebe | No | $1k | +$2k |
| xxNyx | No | $756 | +$2k |
| Michael-The-Taxiarch | No | $483 | +$1k |
| JJo | No | $400 | +$1k |
| 0xwordjnn | No | $262 | +$826 |
| dsoperative | No | $200 | +$500 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.