As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is No IPO by December 31, 2027 at 80%, followed by 11–14B at 3% and 8–11B at 3%.
11–14B moved the most this week: 6% to 3% (−2.7 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No IPO by December 31, 2027 | 80% | +3.8 pts | +2.4 pts | $17k |
| 11–14B | 3% | −1.4 pts | −2.7 pts | $0 |
| 8–11B | 3% | −1.0 pts | −0.7 pts | $0 |
| 5–8B | 2% | −0.4 pts | −0.3 pts | $0 |
| <5B | 2% | −0.4 pts | −2.4 pts | $0 |
A price of 80% means traders pay about $0.80 for a “No IPO by December 31, 2027” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parz1vaI | No IPO by December 31, 2027 · Yes | $6k | +$1k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | <5B · No | $5k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 5–8B · No | $5k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 8–11B · No | $5k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 11–14B · No | $5k | – |
| SnapElectionAvoider | <5B · No | $2k | +$196 |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No IPO by December 31, 2027 · Yes | $1k | +$218 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No IPO by December 31, 2027 · No | $935 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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