As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is <-0.3% at 44%, followed by -0.3% to -0.1% at 40% and 0.0% to 0.2% at 14%.
<-0.3% moved the most this week: 31% to 44% (+12.6 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <-0.3% | 44% | +1.0 pts | +12.6 pts | $0 |
| -0.3% to -0.1% | 40% | 0.0 pts | −4.5 pts | $2k |
| 0.0% to 0.2% | 14% | +4.0 pts | −8.6 pts | $679 |
| 0.3% to 0.5% | 3% | +0.3 pts | +0.1 pts | $162 |
| 0.9% to 1.1% | 1% | −0.1 pts | −1.3 pts | $0 |
A price of 44% means traders pay about $0.44 for a “<-0.3%” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| trx1 | 0.0% to 0.2% · No | $1k | +$208 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 0.9% to 1.1% · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 0.3% to 0.5% · No | $1k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 0.0% to 0.2% · No | $909 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | -0.3% to -0.1% · No | $628 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | <-0.3% · No | $595 | – |
| vieuxtemps | <-0.3% · Yes | $549 | +$24 |
| trx1 | -0.3% to -0.1% · No | $509 | −$112 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.