As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 6% chance for “Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by November 30, 2026”, down from 26% a week ago.
It moved −1.0 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 50% 30 days ago.
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| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | −1.0 pts | −20.0 pts | $1k |
A price of 6% means traders pay about $0.06 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
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