As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is <$3.50T at 51%, followed by $3.50-$4.00T at 29% and $4.00-$4.50T at 12%.
$4.00-$4.50T moved the most this week: 8% to 12% (+3.6 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$3.50T | 51% | −0.1 pts | +3.0 pts | $2k |
| $3.50-$4.00T | 29% | −11.5 pts | +1.0 pts | $2k |
| $4.00-$4.50T | 12% | +8.3 pts | +3.6 pts | $679 |
| $4.50-$5.00T | 2% | −0.4 pts | −2.1 pts | $0 |
| $5.00-$5.50T | 2% | −0.4 pts | −0.4 pts | $0 |
A price of 51% means traders pay about $0.51 for a “<$3.50T” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $5.00-$5.50T · No | $973 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $4.50-$5.00T · No | $969 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $4.00-$4.50T · No | $874 | – |
| Liquidifier | $4.00-$4.50T · No | $854 | +$117 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $3.50-$4.00T · No | $705 | – |
| HDGB | $5.00-$5.50T · No | $700 | +$76 |
| Liquidifier | <$3.50T · Yes | $689 | +$163 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Finance · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.