As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 75-100M at 53%, followed by 100-125M at 45%.
75-100M moved the most this week: 88% to 53% (−35.1 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75-100M | 53% | −43.0 pts | −35.1 pts | $13k |
| 100-125M | 45% | +41.8 pts | +33.5 pts | $7k |
A price of 53% means traders pay about $0.53 for a “75-100M” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 100-125M · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 75-100M · No | $2k | – |
| 0x56e7…7c0b | 75-100M · Yes | $1k | −$890 |
| Crabsoup92 | 75-100M · Yes | $920 | −$406 |
| iwatchmovies | 100-125M · Yes | $628 | +$228 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.