The favourite on Polymarket is 9m+ at 57%, followed by 8m-9m at 21% and 7m-8m at 12%.
7m-8m moved the most this week: 47% to 12% (−35.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9m+ | 57% | −17.5 pts | +9.5 pts | $23k |
| 8m-9m | 21% | −2.5 pts | −26.0 pts | $7k |
| 7m-8m | 12% | +11.9 pts | −35.0 pts | $6k |
| 6m-7m | 6% | +6.1 pts | −20.1 pts | $6k |
| <6m | 4% | +4.0 pts | −22.2 pts | $9k |
A price of 57% means traders pay $0.57 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| PiMaak | 9m+ · Yes | $3k | −$909 |
| imnice | 9m+ · No | $3k | −$2k |
| 0x5095…93ee | 9m+ · Yes | $3k | −$516 |
| 0x9199…dd2d | 9m+ · Yes | $2k | −$588 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 9m+ · No | $2k | −$2k |
| troim | 9m+ · No | $2k | −$677 |
| peso | 9m+ · No | $1k | −$1k |
| coinflip123 | 9m+ · Yes | $755 | −$171 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.