The favourite on Polymarket is Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 90%, followed by Avengers: Doomsday at 9%.
No outcome moved more than 2 points over the past week.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 90% | −3.0 pts | −0.5 pts | $103k |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 9% | +2.1 pts | +0.6 pts | $178k |
A price of 9% means traders pay $0.09 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · No | $224k | −$224k |
| New.Jeans | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · No | $47k | −$42k |
| laflamablanca | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Yes | $29k | −$686 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Avengers: Doomsday · No | $22k | −$22k |
| ajaaja | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Yes | $21k | −$791 |
| eCash | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Yes | $18k | −$518 |
| xMAI | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · No | $16k | −$15k |
| thoodr | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Yes | $14k | −$621 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.