As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 1% chance for “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026”, down from 3% a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 3% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1% | −0.2 pts | −1.2 pts | $32k |
A price of 1% means traders pay about $0.01 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan777 | No | $124k | +$25k |
| SwissMiss | No | $62k | +$12k |
| cqs | No | $61k | +$13k |
| momom | No | $61k | +$10k |
| Kevindoto | No | $57k | +$13k |
| afdafdafdafdafd | No | $44k | +$5k |
| chriszyy3 | No | $36k | +$4k |
| BabyKangroo | No | $33k | +$11k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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