As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 3% chance for “Trump out as President before 2027”, unchanged from a week ago.
It barely moved in the past 24 hours, and stood at 4% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | −0.2 pts | −0.4 pts | $816k |
A price of 3% means traders pay about $0.03 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| SecondWindCapital | No | $399k | +$49k |
| elmcap2 | No | $377k | +$16k |
| dedoge | No | $377k | +$8k |
| onekey02 | No | $260k | +$21k |
| ReedUpdatee | No | $161k | +$17k |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | $113k | +$12k |
| momom | No | $97k | +$10k |
| Aeglos | No | $97k | +$9k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.