As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Ezra Frech at 64%, followed by Harry Shum Jr. at 11% and Connor Wood at 10%.
Connor Wood moved the most this week: 5% to 10% (+4.8 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezra Frech | 64% | 0.0 pts | +4.5 pts | $1k |
| Harry Shum Jr. | 11% | +0.5 pts | +2.2 pts | $4k |
| Connor Wood | 10% | +0.6 pts | +4.8 pts | $5k |
| Jenna Dewan | 4% | 0.0 pts | −0.6 pts | $778 |
| Maura Higgins | 1% | −0.2 pts | −3.0 pts | $0 |
A price of 64% means traders pay about $0.64 for a “Ezra Frech” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gaditima | Connor Wood · No | $4k | +$21 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Maura Higgins · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Jenna Dewan · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Connor Wood · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Harry Shum Jr. · No | $3k | – |
| macrosteaks | Connor Wood · No | $3k | −$59 |
| BlueBase-568 | Maura Higgins · No | $2k | +$343 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Ezra Frech · No | $1k | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.