As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Toy Story 5 at 92%, followed by The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping at 5% and Dune: Messiah at 3%.
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping moved the most this week: 9% to 5% (−4.6 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toy Story 5 | 92% | +4.5 pts | +3.5 pts | $7k |
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | 5% | −0.2 pts | −4.6 pts | $656 |
| Dune: Messiah | 3% | +0.2 pts | +0.7 pts | $0 |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 1% | 0.0 pts | +0.2 pts | $0 |
A price of 92% means traders pay about $0.92 for a “Toy Story 5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| ImJustKen | Toy Story 5 · Yes | $12k | −$25 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Avengers: Doomsday · No | $4k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Dune: Messiah · No | $4k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping · No | $4k | – |
| Gamble.and.bankurpt | Toy Story 5 · Yes | $2k | +$176 |
| jimmer-fredette | Toy Story 5 · No | $553 | +$14 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.