As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 66%, followed by Avengers: Doomsday at 29%.
Avengers: Doomsday moved the most this week: 47% to 29% (−18.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 66% | −6.5 pts | +16.0 pts | $16k |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 29% | +10.5 pts | −18.0 pts | $12k |
A price of 66% means traders pay about $0.66 for a “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Avengers: Doomsday · No | $13k | – |
| New.Jeans | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Yes | $8k | +$2k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · No | $6k | – |
| protagonist | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Yes | $5k | +$1k |
| aenews2 | Avengers: Doomsday · No | $3k | +$1k |
| Investnow | Avengers: Doomsday · Yes | $3k | −$2k |
| Annihilation | Spider-Man: Brand New Day · Yes | $2k | +$436 |
| schizohedgehog | Avengers: Doomsday · Yes | $2k | −$1k |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.