As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is <$1.115M at 56%, followed by $1.115M - $1.126M at 22% and $1.126M - $1.137M at 10%.
$1.115M - $1.126M moved the most this week: 3% to 22% (+19.6 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$1.115M | 56% | +8.0 pts | −10.0 pts | $5k |
| $1.115M - $1.126M | 22% | +4.6 pts | +19.6 pts | $1k |
| $1.126M - $1.137M | 10% | −0.5 pts | −7.0 pts | $2k |
| $1.137M - $1.148M | 8% | −1.6 pts | +2.5 pts | $202 |
| $1.148M - $1.159M | 6% | −0.4 pts | +4.6 pts | $95 |
A price of 56% means traders pay about $0.56 for a “<$1.115M” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.148M - $1.159M · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.137M - $1.148M · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.126M - $1.137M · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $1.115M - $1.126M · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | <$1.115M · No | $883 | – |
| molodoyy | <$1.115M · Yes | $537 | +$295 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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