As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are ↑ $54 at 79%, ↑ $62 at 10% and ↓ $42 at 12%.
↑ $54 moved the most this week: 39% to 79% (+40.7 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $54 | 79% | −1.4 pts | +40.7 pts | $220 |
| ↑ $62 | 10% | −0.2 pts | +3.4 pts | $9k |
| ↑ $64 | 3% | 0.0 pts | −1.6 pts | $4k |
| ↑ $66 | 3% | 0.0 pts | +2.0 pts | $8k |
| ↓ $42 | 12% | +4.6 pts | +4.1 pts | $6k |
A price of 79% means traders pay about $0.79 for a “↑ $54” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x74b4…6bea | ↑ $66 · No | $13k | −$28 |
| 0x74b4…6bea | ↑ $64 · No | $11k | +$204 |
| 0x74b4…6bea | ↑ $62 · No | $7k | −$184 |
| 0x74b4…6bea | ↓ $42 · No | $3k | +$44 |
| Avamax | ↑ $66 · No | $1k | +$2 |
| Avamax | ↑ $64 · No | $1k | +$72 |
| Avamax | ↓ $42 · No | $903 | −$16 |
| PippiTrader | ↓ $42 · No | $511 | +$29 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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