As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 105m+ at 77%, followed by 85m-95m at 3% and <65m at 2%.
85m-95m moved the most this week: 10% to 3% (−7.1 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105m+ | 77% | −1.0 pts | +7.0 pts | $5k |
| 85m-95m | 3% | −2.4 pts | −7.1 pts | $1k |
| <65m | 2% | +0.6 pts | 0.0 pts | $6k |
| 65m-75m | 1% | 0.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $548 |
| 75m-85m | 1% | 0.0 pts | −1.6 pts | $0 |
A price of 77% means traders pay about $0.77 for a “105m+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| cat-dog | <65m · No | $5k | −$12 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 65m-75m · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 75m-85m · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | <65m · No | $3k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 85m-95m · No | $3k | – |
| enderone | 65m-75m · No | $2k | +$36 |
| protagonist | 105m+ · Yes | $2k | +$135 |
| enderone | 75m-85m · No | $2k | +$30 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.