As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 60-79 at 45%, followed by 40-59 at 39% and 80-99 at 12%.
60-79 moved the most this week: 6% to 45% (+39.2 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60-79 | 45% | +14.9 pts | +39.2 pts | $2k |
| 40-59 | 39% | +32.5 pts | +36.1 pts | $3k |
| 80-99 | 12% | −9.3 pts | +5.2 pts | $2k |
| 140-159 | 2% | −5.0 pts | −13.6 pts | $2k |
| 120-139 | 1% | −7.3 pts | −6.4 pts | $1k |
A price of 45% means traders pay about $0.45 for a “60-79” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 120-139 · No | $740 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 140-159 · No | $730 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 80-99 · No | $655 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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