As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are November 30, 2026 at 94%, Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? at 76% and November 15, 2026 at 55%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
November 15, 2026 moved the most this week: 10% to 55% (+44.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30, 2026 | 94% | +0.2 pts | +18.1 pts | $2k |
| Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster? | 76% | 0.0 pts | +6.0 pts | $941 |
| November 15, 2026 | 55% | +12.0 pts | +44.5 pts | $4k |
| Chopsticks catch Starship? | 54% | +2.5 pts | +6.0 pts | $2k |
| Super Heavy booster explodes? | 20% | 0.0 pts | −21.0 pts | $762 |
A price of 94% means traders pay about $0.94 for a “November 30, 2026” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chayzon | November 30, 2026 · Yes | $2k | +$47 |
| bisonhead | November 30, 2026 · Yes | $1k | +$294 |
| zk1984 | November 30, 2026 · Yes | $936 | +$86 |
| Orion96 | Super Heavy booster explodes? · No | $661 | +$80 |
| wallet-account-test | November 30, 2026 · Yes | $587 | +$112 |
| dizzy12345 | November 30, 2026 · Yes | $563 | +$33 |
| unpaidinternyes | Chopsticks catch Starship? · No | $522 | −$406 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in AI & Tech · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.