As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is $2.20 to $2.30 at 68%, followed by $2.10 to $2.20 at 13% and $2.30 to $2.40 at 12%.
$2.10 to $2.20 moved the most this week: 23% to 13% (−10.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2.20 to $2.30 | 68% | −3.5 pts | −0.5 pts | $2k |
| $2.10 to $2.20 | 13% | −1.0 pts | −10.0 pts | $953 |
| $2.30 to $2.40 | 12% | +2.0 pts | +2.0 pts | $0 |
| $2.00 to $2.10 | 2% | −0.2 pts | −0.3 pts | $0 |
A price of 68% means traders pay about $0.68 for a “$2.20 to $2.30” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| rando12345 | $2.20 to $2.30 · Yes | $1k | +$224 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $2.00 to $2.10 · No | $667 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $2.30 to $2.40 · No | $593 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | $2.10 to $2.20 · No | $589 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.