As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Anne Hathaway at 90%, Penélope Cruz at 84% and Samantha Morton at 72%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Mariana di Girolamo moved the most this week: 24% to 14% (−10.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anne Hathaway | 90% | 0.0 pts | +2.0 pts | $0 |
| Penélope Cruz | 84% | 0.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $0 |
| Samantha Morton | 72% | 0.0 pts | +2.0 pts | $0 |
| Amanda Seyfried | 60% | 0.0 pts | +1.5 pts | $1k |
| Mariana di Girolamo | 14% | +1.5 pts | −10.0 pts | $4k |
A price of 90% means traders pay about $0.90 for a “Anne Hathaway” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| QR1 | Mariana di Girolamo · No | $2k | +$265 |
| Gaditima | Amanda Seyfried · Yes | $586 | +$424 |
| 20YrsOfBoredom | Penélope Cruz · Yes | $582 | +$57 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.