As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are NAZA at 96%, Once Upon a Time in Harlem at 86% and You Can See Everything at 72%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Tutu moved the most this week: 35% to 17% (−18.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAZA | 96% | −0.9 pts | +2.1 pts | $0 |
| Once Upon a Time in Harlem | 86% | +2.0 pts | +3.5 pts | $0 |
| You Can See Everything | 72% | +0.5 pts | −6.5 pts | $4k |
| Tutu | 17% | −1.0 pts | −18.0 pts | $3k |
| Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party | 8% | −3.5 pts | −9.0 pts | $3k |
A price of 96% means traders pay about $0.96 for a “NAZA” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Epic424 | You Can See Everything · Yes | $2k | −$420 |
| towtle | You Can See Everything · Yes | $1k | −$57 |
| Chore | You Can See Everything · Yes | $974 | −$120 |
| macrosteaks | You Can See Everything · No | $807 | +$230 |
| ZhouCD | Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party · No | $768 | +$71 |
| Nostdam | You Can See Everything · Yes | $604 | −$20 |
| VVKhqdMdKjEpLsDRwu | You Can See Everything · No | $581 | +$243 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.