As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Javier Ambrossi at 84%, Martin McDonagh at 74% and Denis Villeneuve at 60%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Martin McDonagh moved the most this week: 66% to 74% (+8.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier Ambrossi | 84% | −0.5 pts | +1.0 pts | $1k |
| Martin McDonagh | 74% | +5.0 pts | +8.0 pts | $990 |
| Denis Villeneuve | 60% | +0.5 pts | −1.0 pts | $3k |
| Nathan Fielder | 59% | −0.4 pts | +1.7 pts | $3k |
| Jesse Eisenberg | 19% | −0.5 pts | −5.5 pts | $2k |
A price of 84% means traders pay about $0.84 for a “Javier Ambrossi” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.