As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are The Black Ball at 92%, The Odyssey at 88% and Werwulf at 41%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
The Black Ball moved the most this week: 78% to 92% (+14.4 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Black Ball | 92% | +13.0 pts | +14.4 pts | $2k |
| The Odyssey | 88% | 0.0 pts | +5.0 pts | $0 |
| Werwulf | 41% | −2.5 pts | −6.5 pts | $0 |
| Wild Horse Nine | 23% | +2.0 pts | −1.5 pts | $9k |
| The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | 18% | −1.5 pts | −3.0 pts | $165 |
A price of 92% means traders pay about $0.92 for a “The Black Ball” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x8314…0b88 | The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth · No | $564 | +$159 |
| jimmer-fredette | The Odyssey · Yes | $550 | +$52 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Climate & Culture · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.