As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is 0.7% to 0.8% at 48%, followed by 0.9% to 1.0% at 35% and ≤0.6% at 16%.
0.9% to 1.0% moved the most this week: 20% to 35% (+14.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7% to 0.8% | 48% | −6.5 pts | +2.5 pts | $7k |
| 0.9% to 1.0% | 35% | +1.5 pts | +14.5 pts | $2k |
| ≤0.6% | 16% | +8.0 pts | −10.8 pts | $5k |
A price of 48% means traders pay about $0.48 for a “0.7% to 0.8%” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | ≤0.6% · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 0.9% to 1.0% · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | 0.7% to 0.8% · No | $1k | – |
| MaxEnt | 0.7% to 0.8% · Yes | $1k | +$66 |
| 0x8314…0b88 | 0.9% to 1.0% · No | $1k | +$113 |
| MaxEnt | 0.9% to 1.0% · Yes | $971 | −$39 |
| MaxEnt | ≤0.6% · No | $968 | −$18 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Finance · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.