As of 8 November 2026, traders on Polymarket see a 8% chance for “NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027”, down from 8% a week ago.
It moved −0.5 pts in the past 24 hours, and stood at 8% 30 days ago.
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8% | −0.5 pts | −1.0 pts | $13k |
A price of 8% means traders pay about $0.08 for a Yes share, which pays $1 if the answer is Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| hwey346ed | No | $11k | +$265 |
| MaxPowell | No | $6k | +$213 |
| lowrisk24 | No | $4k | +$294 |
| justme003 | No | $4k | +$385 |
| MPCap20 | No | $3k | +$370 |
| CompulsiveGambler | No | $2k | +$186 |
| not.found | No | $1k | +$59 |
| cowcat | No | $790 | +$27 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.