As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are O/U 4.5 at 78%, Winner at 58% and O/U 6.5 at 48%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Spread -1.5 moved the most this week: 56% to 22% (−34.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 4.5 | 78% | −3.0 pts | −0.5 pts | $32 |
| Winner | 58% | +1.0 pts | 0.0 pts | $15k |
| O/U 6.5 | 48% | −0.5 pts | −2.0 pts | $54 |
| Spread -1.5 | 36% | −1.0 pts | −1.0 pts | $655 |
| Spread -1.5 | 22% | −34.0 pts | −34.0 pts | $533 |
A price of 78% means traders pay about $0.78 for a “O/U 4.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| roldy | Winner · Yes | $4k | +$21 |
| Multicoloured-Serf | Winner · Yes | $3k | +$72 |
| mooseborzoi | Winner · No | $2k | −$92 |
| nigiri99 | Winner · No | $2k | −$67 |
| jayjaypt | Winner · No | $772 | −$51 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Sports · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.