As of 8 November 2026, the highest chances on Polymarket are Spread -5.5 at 52%, O/U 48.5 at 48% and Spread -6.5 at 48%. Each line is its own yes-or-no market.
Spread -14.5 moved the most this week: 30% to 22% (−8.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread -5.5 | 52% | 0.0 pts | −3.5 pts | $14k |
| O/U 48.5 | 48% | +1.0 pts | −8.0 pts | $15k |
| Spread -6.5 | 48% | 0.0 pts | −7.0 pts | $70k |
| Winner | 30% | +1.0 pts | +1.0 pts | $119k |
| Spread -14.5 | 22% | 0.0 pts | −8.0 pts | $60k |
A price of 52% means traders pay about $0.52 for a “Spread -5.5” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbc43…96d3 | Winner · No | $70k | −$500 |
| bands1 | Spread -6.5 · No | $21k | +$200 |
| HomeRunHazard | Spread -14.5 · No | $20k | −$215 |
| mooseborzoi | Spread -6.5 · Yes | $20k | −$537 |
| gmpm2 | Winner · Yes | $19k | −$70 |
| 0xbc43…96d3 | Spread -14.5 · Yes | $13k | +$72 |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | Spread -6.5 · No | $10k | +$12 |
| wan123 | Winner · Yes | $9k | −$34 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.