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Geopolitics · Israel & Gaza

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is No Next Minister by Feb 28 at 30%, followed by Yoram Cohen at 18% and Yair Golan at 18%.

No Next Minister by Feb 28 moved the most this week: 52% to 30% (−22.0 pts).

Open on the mapRules and result on Polymarket

Chances now

New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean

OutcomeChance24 hours7 daysTraded, 7 days
No Next Minister by Feb 2830%−1.5 pts−22.0 pts$6k
Yoram Cohen18%−1.5 pts+3.5 pts$3k
Yair Golan18%+11.5 pts+15.8 pts$1k
Itamar Ben Gvir4%0.0 pts−0.4 pts$0
Amir Ohana3%0.0 pts+1.5 pts$0

A price of 30% means traders pay about $0.30 for a “No Next Minister by Feb 28” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.

Key facts

Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees

Largest public holders

WalletHoldsValueUnrealised P&L
0xa5ef…2966Amir Ohana · No$1k–
0xa5ef…2966Itamar Ben Gvir · No$1k–
DorTovimNo Next Minister by Feb 28 · No$1k+$352
0xa5ef…2966Yoram Cohen · No$1k–
0xa5ef…2966Yair Golan · No$1k–
0xa5ef…2966No Next Minister by Feb 28 · No$856–

Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.

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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.