The favourite on Polymarket is June 30, 2027 at 70%, followed by March 31, 2027 at 57% and December 31 at 42%.
June 30, 2027 moved the most this week: 32% to 70% (+37.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 70% | +12.0 pts | +37.0 pts | $155k |
| March 31, 2027 | 57% | +2.0 pts | +31.5 pts | $9k |
| December 31 | 42% | +5.5 pts | +21.0 pts | $216k |
A price of 42% means traders pay $0.41 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | December 31 · No | $17k | +$4k |
| wan123 | December 31 · Yes | $11k | −$1k |
| alwaysOn | December 31 · No | $10k | +$3k |
| flawfence | December 31 · No | $9k | +$3k |
| QMTRADR | December 31 · Yes | $8k | −$3k |
| xiaohuli111 | December 31 · Yes | $7k | +$796 |
| cashy | December 31 · Yes | $7k | +$3k |
| Oriya123 | December 31 · Yes | $7k | +$3k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.