As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is No Next Minister by Feb 28 at 36%, followed by Hili Tropper at 10% and Gideon Sa’ar at 3%.
No Next Minister by Feb 28 moved the most this week: 44% to 36% (−8.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 36% | +4.0 pts | −8.0 pts | $6k |
| Hili Tropper | 10% | −6.0 pts | −2.5 pts | $7k |
| Gideon Sa’ar | 3% | 0.0 pts | −1.7 pts | $0 |
| Yariv Levin | 3% | 0.0 pts | −0.1 pts | $0 |
| Ayelet Shaked | 2% | +0.2 pts | +0.2 pts | $0 |
A price of 36% means traders pay about $0.36 for a “No Next Minister by Feb 28” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| HolyMoses7 | No Next Minister by Feb 28 · No | $2k | +$211 |
| M2sx92kljs42 | Yariv Levin · No | $848 | +$113 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Ayelet Shaked · No | $785 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Yariv Levin · No | $780 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Gideon Sa’ar · No | $778 | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Hili Tropper · No | $718 | – |
| 0x3f99…fc18 | No Next Minister by Feb 28 · Yes | $698 | −$100 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No Next Minister by Feb 28 · No | $510 | – |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
More in Geopolitics · All markets
Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.