As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is Yair Lapid at 38%, followed by No Next Minister by Feb 28 at 34% and Naftali Bennett at 9%.
Yair Lapid moved the most this week: 20% to 38% (+18.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yair Lapid | 38% | −0.5 pts | +18.5 pts | $14k |
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 34% | +0.5 pts | −13.5 pts | $7k |
| Naftali Bennett | 9% | −4.6 pts | +7.5 pts | $120 |
| Gadi Eizenkot | 2% | −0.1 pts | −0.1 pts | $264 |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 2% | −0.5 pts | −0.8 pts | $0 |
A price of 38% means traders pay about $0.38 for a “Yair Lapid” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | Yair Lapid · No | $5k | −$859 |
| ydxistheking | Yair Lapid · Yes | $4k | +$878 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Avigdor Lieberman · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Gadi Eizenkot · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Naftali Bennett · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No Next Minister by Feb 28 · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Yair Lapid · No | $2k | – |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yair Lapid · Yes | $790 | +$331 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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