As of 8 November 2026, the favourite on Polymarket is No Next Minister by Feb 28 at 34%, followed by Avigdor Lieberman at 17% and Naftali Bennett at 16%.
Naftali Bennett moved the most this week: 1% to 16% (+15.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 34% | −0.5 pts | −11.0 pts | $10k |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 17% | −2.6 pts | +11.2 pts | $5k |
| Naftali Bennett | 16% | +1.8 pts | +15.0 pts | $2k |
| Bezalel Smotrich | 2% | +0.3 pts | −0.1 pts | $264 |
| Yaron Zelekha | 1% | 0.0 pts | −0.1 pts | $441 |
A price of 34% means traders pay about $0.34 for a “No Next Minister by Feb 28” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Yaron Zelekha · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Bezalel Smotrich · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Naftali Bennett · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Avigdor Lieberman · No | $2k | – |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No Next Minister by Feb 28 · No | $1k | – |
| koko84 | Avigdor Lieberman · No | $621 | −$30 |
| HolyMoses7 | Yaron Zelekha · No | $606 | +$2 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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