As of 8 November 2026, the Polymarket prices are 1440+ at 37%, 1450+ at 28% and 1460+ at 10%.
1440+ moved the most this week: 59% to 37% (−21.6 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1440+ | 37% | −1.4 pts | −21.6 pts | $0 |
| 1450+ | 28% | +4.5 pts | −5.0 pts | $5k |
| 1460+ | 10% | +0.5 pts | −8.0 pts | $0 |
| 1470+ | 2% | +0.1 pts | 0.0 pts | $0 |
A price of 37% means traders pay about $0.37 for a “1440+” share, which pays $1 if that line resolves Yes. It is the crowd’s estimate, not a forecast by Nimb. Each line is a separate yes-or-no market, so the chances do not add up to 100%.
Volume and liquidity, explained · How markets resolve · Fees
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| The-Joker | 1470+ · No | $3k | +$283 |
| recallcp | 1450+ · No | $1k | −$30 |
| recallcp | 1460+ · No | $788 | +$55 |
| iutwpfal | 1450+ · No | $775 | +$145 |
| Hannah-Montana | 1450+ · Yes | $727 | +$25 |
Value is shares × the current price of the side held. Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. A dash means the cost basis is unknown. Holders are public data; this is not a signal to copy. How to read holders.
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Prediction markets are risky and you can lose your whole stake. Risk disclosure.