The favourite on Polymarket is Google at 76%, followed by Anthropic at 22% and OpenAI at 3%.
Google moved the most this week: 59% to 76% (+16.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76% | +3.0 pts | +16.5 pts | $49k | |
| Anthropic | 22% | −3.0 pts | −11.0 pts | $43k |
| OpenAI | 3% | −0.8 pts | −2.0 pts | $45k |
A price of 76% means traders pay $0.76 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Google · No | $38k | −$38k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Anthropic · No | $11k | −$11k |
| BigMackyG | Google · Yes | $9k | +$3k |
| lisra | Google · No | $7k | −$2k |
| GollumGekko | Google · Yes | $6k | +$1k |
| 0xbc3e…6693 | Google · No | $5k | −$2k |
| eCash | Google · Yes | $4k | +$837 |
| Sylvester.the.Cat | Google · Yes | $4k | +$246 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.